Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.036525 0.039664 0.042811 0.046194 0.049724 0.053292 0.057167
2026-01-25 0.030269 0.034842 0.039567 0.044793 0.050388 0.056180 0.062608
2026-02-01 0.026051 0.031660 0.037621 0.044375 0.051768 0.059567 0.068375
2026-02-08 0.022835 0.029218 0.036180 0.044243 0.053235 0.062877 0.073919
2026-02-15 0.021052 0.028169 0.036107 0.045466 0.056062 0.067567 0.080888
2026-02-22 0.019404 0.027107 0.035879 0.046395 0.058462 0.071710 0.087192
2026-03-01 0.017750 0.025890 0.035353 0.046876 0.060269 0.075121 0.092626
2026-03-08 0.016166 0.024628 0.034669 0.047082 0.061684 0.078029 0.097443
2026-03-15 0.015192 0.024040 0.034723 0.048099 0.063988 0.081910 0.103329
2026-03-22 0.013462 0.022369 0.033366 0.047352 0.064164 0.083300 0.106336
2026-03-29 0.012378 0.021460 0.032885 0.047607 0.065476 0.085963 0.110769
2026-04-05 0.011612 0.020917 0.032822 0.048336 0.067322 0.089224 0.115872
2026-04-12 0.010766 0.020235 0.032575 0.048850 0.068941 0.092267 0.120789
2026-04-19 0.009136 0.018343 0.030679 0.047242 0.067945 0.092202 0.122072
2026-04-26 0.008077 0.017189 0.029693 0.046732 0.068251 0.093647 0.125096
2026-05-03 0.007234 0.016288 0.028999 0.046557 0.068938 0.095526 0.128613
2026-05-10 0.006935 0.016203 0.029403 0.047796 0.071375 0.099498 0.134602
2026-05-17 0.006565 0.015976 0.029594 0.048741 0.073437 0.103016 0.140053
2026-05-24 0.006084 0.015530 0.029452 0.049231 0.074914 0.105820 0.144652
2026-05-31 0.005558 0.014968 0.029116 0.049441 0.076023 0.108166 0.148698
2026-06-07 0.005304 0.014850 0.029409 0.050485 0.078185 0.111792 0.154275
2026-06-14 0.004589 0.013858 0.028383 0.049716 0.078009 0.112544 0.156393
2026-06-21 0.004192 0.013403 0.028128 0.049979 0.079143 0.114892 0.160424